Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Robert Morris Colonials: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bea2cc04e650fc286fdac033d0dc27459c642a9e19248026b05a0ce6e30cdd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 21,905$10,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,912.05 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 5,662$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.54 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 3,999$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Under | 50c | 1,968$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.43 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 1,875$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 1,359$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.88 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 1,300$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.5 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 1,249$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 50c | 1,227$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.3 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Under | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed Under | 49c | 411.13$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.45 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Under | 50c | 360$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 46c | 218.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Under | 46c | 217.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 206.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 50c | 200.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 49c | 190.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.33 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 175.93$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 54c | 160.02$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 127$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 100.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6a…72e3backed Under | 51c | 98.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 51c | 78.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Under | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 50c | 25.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…c78abacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Robert Morris Colonials: O/U 149.5this page
- Milwaukee Panthers vs. Robert Morris ColonialsRobert Morris Colonials won
- Spread: Robert Morris Colonials (-5.5)Robert Morris Colonials won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.