Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2c0bc825d5e34420e3cb777bf3f06762c534795cbe142c0671a687ef27257946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Game Masterof Game Master, Grey Trac
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Grey Trac | 1c | 2,357$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Grey Trac | 23c | 2,356$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.25 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Grey Trac | 9c | 1,454$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…a3c4backed Game Master | 78c | 1,389$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.34 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e9…7269backed Grey Trac | 5c | 1,133$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Game Master | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Grey Trac | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Grey Trac | 10c | 799.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Grey Trac | 11c | 683.64$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Game Master | 78c | 614.03$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grey Trac | 12c | 507.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…0eccbacked Game Master | 75c | 424.8$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.8 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Grey Trac | 11c | 413.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Game Master | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Grey Trac | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Grey Trac | 9c | 373.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Grey Trac | 21c | 345.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…9bcdbacked Game Master | 73c | 340.46$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 69 | 81.2%56 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Grey Trac | 10c | 299.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Game Master | 75c | 283.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grey Trac | 17c | 279.94$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Game Master | 77c | 259.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…3075backed Game Master | 77c | 243.28$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Grey Trac | 27c | 232.46$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Grey Trac | 24c | 232.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c1…4ebbbacked Grey Trac | 19c | 155.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Grey Trac | 21c | 142.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Game Master | 77c | 129.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Game Master | 78c | 127.24$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Grey Trac | 11c | 121$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Game Master | 74c | 114.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Grey Trac | 16c | 110.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Game Master | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Grey Trac | 16c | 99.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Grey Trac | 12c | 98.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked Game Master | 71c | 88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Grey Trac | 26c | 71.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed Game Master | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Grey Trac | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Game Master | 74c | 31.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Game Master | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Game Master | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Game Master | 79c | 16.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGame Master won
- Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 1 WinnerGame Master won
- Game Handicap: Game Master (-1.5) vs Grey Trac (+1.5)Game Master won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.