Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb330ce7f8add081911ba314020bdf8b229dd1394ab6b4532b0da99963583637f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Game Masterof Game Master, Grey Trac
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Grey Trac | 12c | 2,955$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.37 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…b82bbacked Game Master | 74c | 1,268$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Grey Trac | 10c | 1,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73bc…46cebacked Grey Trac | 20c | 851.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.35 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Game Master | 80c | 791.06$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.41 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grey Trac | 11c | 556.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.31 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed Grey Trac | 26c | 499.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x952a…bdc8backed Game Master | 79c | 457.37$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 84 | 69%58 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Grey Trac | 11c | 393.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Grey Trac | 13c | 347.59$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Grey Trac | 26c | 335.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.36 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked Game Master | 78c | 281$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Grey Trac | 11c | 231.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 301 | 46.2%139 W · 162 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Grey Trac | 11c | 219.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 669 | 47.1%315 W · 354 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Grey Trac | 26c | 218.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Grey Trac | 15c | 213.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Grey Trac | 19c | 210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Grey Trac | 9c | 210$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Grey Trac | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Grey Trac | 10c | 162$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed Grey Trac | 21c | 154.08$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Grey Trac | 11c | 143.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Grey Trac | 10c | 120.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Grey Trac | 18c | 115$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…65a1backed Game Master | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Game Master | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Game Master | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Grey Trac | 13c | 93.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e1…a9ecbacked Game Master | 76c | 83.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Grey Trac | 17c | 75.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Game Master | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Game Master | 73c | 63.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad2…7e40backed Grey Trac | 23c | 59.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Grey Trac | 19c | 57.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Grey Trac | 20c | 53.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Grey Trac | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Grey Trac | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Grey Trac | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Game Master | 80c | 47.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 148 | 68.9%102 W · 46 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Grey Trac | 27c | 47.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Game Master | 67c | 39.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Game Master | 74c | 35.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccf6…b29fbacked Game Master | 78c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 1 WinnerGame Master won
- Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 2 WinnerGame Master won
- Game Handicap: Game Master (-1.5) vs Grey Trac (+1.5)Game Master won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.