Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. South Alabama Jaguars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d072f41f5960a262bc3af4aebe45297c98fc4e51fe3007f2846925247a59284
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajunsof Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns, South Alabama Jaguars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88a7…5314backed South Alabama Jaguars | 46c | 3,044$1,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…aa90backed South Alabama Jaguars | 42c | 2,137$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 74c | 2,048$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.72 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 57c | 1,743$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.23 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 21c | 1,136$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.52 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Alabama Jaguars | 41c | 1,031$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.86 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 76c | 769.35$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.56 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 47c | 762.15$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.7 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 67c | 706.58$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.86 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed South Alabama Jaguars | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 651.85$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.3 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 39c | 602.34$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.87 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed South Alabama Jaguars | 79c | 578.76$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked South Alabama Jaguars | 34c | 559.96$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…08f5backed South Alabama Jaguars | 2c | 477.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 41c | 418.08$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…7c36backed South Alabama Jaguars | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 79c | 395.98$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.44 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 19c | 385.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.27 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked South Alabama Jaguars | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed South Alabama Jaguars | 11c | 285$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed South Alabama Jaguars | 62c | 259.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.31 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 9c | 230.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed South Alabama Jaguars | 69c | 205.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.49 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 49c | 202.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 22c | 200.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.55 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed South Alabama Jaguars | 77c | 176.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.9 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 77c | 154$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 46c | 152$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacc…4511backed South Alabama Jaguars | 50c | 125$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed South Alabama Jaguars | 31c | 105.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 51c | 82.01$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 47c | 69.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fb…72b8backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 70c | 61.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 20c | 51.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 60c | 47.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f8…92b8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed South Alabama Jaguars | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…4f15backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 39c | 34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked South Alabama Jaguars | 79c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dad…3cd4backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 32c | 31.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed South Alabama Jaguars | 49c | 25.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…621fbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | 62c | 16.51$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. South Alabama Jaguarsthis page
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 126.5Under won
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 127.5Under won
- Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. South Alabama Jaguars: O/U 128.5Under won
- Spread: South Alabama Jaguars (-9.5)Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.