Mls · resolved market
Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d25e8123df27c73826fb855a6aa7111ecc8b43dfe9b323b026a6beffecc86b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 29c | 1,980$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.69 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 9c | 1,040$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 4c | 355.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 80c | 346.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 13c | 256.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…8bf4backed Under | 12c | 187$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 34c | 181.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 72c | 163.21$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.16 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 62c | 157.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.08 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04b…3ce0backed Over | 64c | 129.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 66c | 109$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 63c | 96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 60c | 83.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 36c | 77.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 72c | 54.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 72c | 54.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 72c | 54.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 73c | 54.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 74c | 34.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 69c | 30.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5this page
- Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.