Mls · resolved market
Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96d865062fa9c3d34f35227709e3348ba471b1d1b3937f2554ca5f24cf399ab6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 74c | 1,527$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.48 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 67c | 1,493$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.68 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 70c | 923.56$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.04 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 750.11$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.4 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 26c | 749.92$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.14 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 22c | 667.71$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.17 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 26c | 589.81$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 46c | 497$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 477.37$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Over | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.39 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Under | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 376.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.84 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 72c | 329$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.88 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 40c | 293.66$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 263.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.31 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…8bf4backed Under | 28c | 246.93$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 58c | 226.45$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.42 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 73c | 173.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Over | 73c | 173.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.95 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 72c | 165.44$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.88 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68f4…2a4abacked Over | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 152.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 205 | 54.6%112 W · 93 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 150.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.72 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 28c | 145.74$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 28c | 137.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 72c | 137.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 69c | 133$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 304 | 44.1%134 W · 170 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 42c | 130.69$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 125.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.56 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 116.6$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 47c | 94.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.37 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 83.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 72c | 75.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 73c | 74.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Over | 73c | 74.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 73c | 74.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.3 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 31c | 65.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 35c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 53.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…eefdbacked Under | 62c | 48.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 72c | 47.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 73c | 46.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 73c | 46.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Over | 33c | 45.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 73c | 43.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 69c | 41.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 69c | 40.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 27.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Under | 54c | 27.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 67c | 22.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…30debacked Under | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 72c | 18.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3511…d8bdbacked Over | 72c | 17.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Over | 73c | 16.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d46…26d8backed Over | 69c | 15.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 73c | 15.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Columbus Crew vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)Orlando City SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Columbus Crew won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.