CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Tricked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d4693d03a650486451ac8e7ca4fefef1566e4551abb8ef94bbbd75715f60ba6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked Nemiga | 63c | 5,502$3,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,053.91 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Tricked | 34c | 2,824$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.86 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 69c | 1,648$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked Nemiga | 67c | 1,375$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.62 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Tricked | 32c | 1,043$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.82 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga | 64c | 911.99$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.8 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Nemiga | 69c | 900$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.4 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Nemiga | 77c | 820.48$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.01 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Tricked | 32c | 745$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.98 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…6980backed Tricked | 34c | 612.95$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.88 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Nemiga | 64c | 553.89$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.85 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 38c | 527.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tricked | 29c | 491.11$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Tricked | 59c | 405.26$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.14 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b4ffbacked Tricked | 29c | 374.6$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Tricked | 40c | 371.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Tricked | 33c | 363.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Tricked | 30c | 355.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Tricked | 37c | 348.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed Tricked | 29c | 290.41$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.22 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Tricked | 30c | 275.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Tricked | 46c | 245.65$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.7 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Nemiga | 65c | 232.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga | 71c | 230.22$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Tricked | 40c | 227.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.01 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Tricked | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Tricked | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…aeb7backed Tricked | 37c | 187.79$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Tricked | 37c | 187.57$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Nemiga | 63c | 176.83$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Nemiga | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Tricked | 35c | 143.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Tricked | 29c | 141.75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked Nemiga | 58c | 139.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…04f7backed Nemiga | 74c | 135.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Tricked | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…e3d7backed Tricked | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Tricked | 53c | 128.57$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Tricked | 52c | 123.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8edb…d34dbacked Tricked | 33c | 119.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tricked | 30c | 115.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Tricked | 28c | 114.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed Tricked | 42c | 111.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed Tricked | 29c | 111.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Tricked | 39c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nemiga | 64c | 108.7$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Tricked | 31c | 104.19$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…9a6ebacked Tricked | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Tricked | 35c | 83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Nemiga | 66c | 81.86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Tricked | 21c | 71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Nemiga | 67c | 68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed Tricked | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d3…e759backed Tricked | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Tricked | 37c | 51.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Tricked | 36c | 50.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Nemiga | 44c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.44 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked Nemiga | 71c | 48.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ff…4008backed Tricked | 34c | 47.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tricked | 33c | 47.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Nemiga | 63c | 43.4$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nemiga | 42c | 24.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed Nemiga | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nemiga | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Nemiga | 66c | 17.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Nemiga | 74c | 17.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Tricked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Tricked (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Tricked - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.