Tennis · resolved market
Plovdiv 2: Lorenzo Angelini vs Petr Nesterov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e14ffa8a9e7fd92ad131e93556ea3d48f74e6edc3203b6688fb5c54ccf645a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Petr Nesterovof Lorenzo Angelini, Petr Nesterov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 22c | 1,031$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.46 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Petr Nesterov | 74c | 732$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.85 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e97…6561backed Petr Nesterov | 70c | 704.21$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.26 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Lorenzo Angelini | 30c | 686.24$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.87 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Lorenzo Angelini | 36c | 359.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lorenzo Angelini | 30c | 351.34$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.67 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Angelini | 4c | 339.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lorenzo Angelini | 7c | 268.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Petr Nesterov | 68c | 215.06$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lorenzo Angelini | 32c | 193.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Petr Nesterov | 68c | 175.59$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Petr Nesterov | 69c | 169.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lorenzo Angelini | 32c | 149.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Petr Nesterov | 71c | 133.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Lorenzo Angelini | 34c | 132.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 27c | 132$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Angelini | 38c | 120$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Angelini | 26c | 115.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Petr Nesterov | 69c | 99.53$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Lorenzo Angelini | 32c | 95.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Lorenzo Angelini | 38c | 95.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Petr Nesterov | 60c | 92.89$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Petr Nesterov | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Petr Nesterov | 67c | 88.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Lorenzo Angelini | 39c | 79.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Petr Nesterov | 68c | 73.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Petr Nesterov | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Petr Nesterov | 59c | 69.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lorenzo Angelini | 39c | 64.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Petr Nesterov | 74c | 58.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Petr Nesterov | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lorenzo Angelini | 46c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lorenzo Angelini | 32c | 40.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Lorenzo Angelini | 50c | 38.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Petr Nesterov | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Lorenzo Angelini | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lorenzo Angelini | 34c | 30.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Petr Nesterov | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Petr Nesterov | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…6b2abacked Petr Nesterov | 69c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Petr Nesterov | 69c | 20.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.