Tennis · resolved market
ITF Londrina: Juan Estevez vs Juan Sebastian Osorio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e3be693afc2b76c7c828eb3e30d49fb0208e5c445b00962e20ce4fecc147ddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Sebastian Osorioof Juan Estevez, Juan Sebastian Osorio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,236
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,236 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Juan Estevez | 1c | 3,512$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 32c | 1,716$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Juan Estevez | 68c | 1,392$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.62 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Juan Estevez | 55c | 432.23$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.94 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Juan Estevez | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Juan Estevez | 64c | 100.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b3…4e84backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +249%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Juan Estevez | 55c | 90.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 16c | 86.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 65c | 81.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 15c | 76.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ea…2f71backed Juan Estevez | 55c | 73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 447 | 58.8%263 W · 184 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e8…c60ebacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 53c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 374 | 60.4%226 W · 148 L | +29.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f2…0ff7backed Juan Estevez | 41c | 68.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +122%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 66c | 56.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Juan Estevez | 49c | 50.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 24c | 46.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 299 | 45.8%137 W · 162 L | +20.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Juan Estevez | 69c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Juan Sebastian Osorio | 31c | 35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff88…601dbacked Juan Estevez | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Juan Sebastian Osorio | 64c | 21.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Juan Estevez | 47c | 21.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Juan Estevez | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Londrina: Juan Estevez vs Juan Sebastian Osoriothis page
- Juan Estevez vs. Juan Sebastian Osorio: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Estevez vs OsorioEstevez won
- Set Handicap: Osorio (-1.5) vs Estevez (+1.5)Estevez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.