Tennis · resolved market
ITF The Hague: Eva Vedder vs Nina Vargova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ec977b804f3b800cc3da3e851e4f76243bb72eb6b21b22081157ac435e1786e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eva Vedderof Eva Vedder, Nina Vargova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Nina Vargova | 41c | 9,660$4,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,002.21 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Eva Vedder | 69c | 5,470$3,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eva Vedder | 43c | 1,440$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.3 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nina Vargova | 49c | 876.82$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.86 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Eva Vedder | 51c | 829.21$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.54 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Eva Vedder | 49c | 712.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.2 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Nina Vargova | 62c | 590.51$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.85 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Eva Vedder | 47c | 580.85$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.85 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Eva Vedder | 48c | 567.81$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.26 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Eva Vedder | 70c | 521.8$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eva Vedder | 38c | 418.21$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.9 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nina Vargova | 51c | 359.8$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Eva Vedder | 53c | 267.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.24 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Eva Vedder | 42c | 237.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.96 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Eva Vedder | 38c | 204$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Nina Vargova | 50c | 202.2$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Eva Vedder | 55c | 183.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.15 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eva Vedder | 30c | 161.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.48 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Eva Vedder | 48c | 156.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.64 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Eva Vedder | 39c | 154.56$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Nina Vargova | 79c | 153$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Eva Vedder | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Eva Vedder | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Eva Vedder | 71c | 119.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Nina Vargova | 51c | 118.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Nina Vargova | 48c | 116.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Nina Vargova | 48c | 103.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Eva Vedder | 71c | 100.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Nina Vargova | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Eva Vedder | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Eva Vedder | 65c | 98.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Eva Vedder | 42c | 95.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nina Vargova | 69c | 92.33$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Eva Vedder | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Eva Vedder | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Eva Vedder | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Nina Vargova | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Eva Vedder | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Eva Vedder | 72c | 70.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Nina Vargova | 52c | 69.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Nina Vargova | 26c | 64.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Eva Vedder | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Eva Vedder | 48c | 57.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.93 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Eva Vedder | 57c | 53.86$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nina Vargova | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eva Vedder | 57c | 48.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Eva Vedder | 37c | 38.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Eva Vedder | 38c | 38.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Nina Vargova | 52c | 37.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Nina Vargova | 39c | 37.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Eva Vedder | 69c | 30.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Nina Vargova | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Eva Vedder | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nina Vargova | 53c | 28.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Nina Vargova | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Eva Vedder | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Eva Vedder | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Eva Vedder | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Eva Vedder | 74c | 17.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.