Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f0a12b800562aa068d2d42ae7cd16e91cbd179971f580907fd7d64ade40fd52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,042
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,042 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef26…05babacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 11,715$5,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,360.2 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 10,000$4,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,671.01 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 8,409$4,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,709.99 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 5,603$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,192.95 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 3,071$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 61c | 2,785$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.01 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 2,212$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.54 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 2,181$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.73 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 2,125$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.49 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 66c | 2,000$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.46 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 1,693$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.5 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 1,667$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.76 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 1,662$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 37c | 1,240$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.13 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ilbirs eSports | 4c | 1,236$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 1,155$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 1,112$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.37 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 1,018$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.38 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 1,001$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.57 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 999.99$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.42 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Ilbirs eSports | 26c | 982.02$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 967.43$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.84 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 967.26$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 773.13$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.44 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 750$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.12 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 700$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.16 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Ilbirs eSports | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…960ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 660.71$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 646$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.67 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ilbirs eSports | 22c | 581.76$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.81 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 479.61$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 194 | 58.8%114 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 446.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.18 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 402.52$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.89 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Ilbirs eSports | 33c | 397.11$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.17 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 337.78$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.89 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 324.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe694…0a08backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 319$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Ilbirs eSports | 71c | 300$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Ilbirs eSports | 77c | 289.48$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Ilbirs eSports | 32c | 287.84$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.97 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 282.92$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2802…347dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 17c | 271.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 263.81$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.25 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Ilbirs eSports | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 249.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.49 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3540…3c49backed Ilbirs eSports | 49c | 247.82$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 243.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.45 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 219.01$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.84 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 212.54$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.08 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Ilbirs eSports | 76c | 202.08$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 199.83$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…02c0backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 196.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 189.57$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.83 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 183.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2c26backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 175$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 172.03$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 167.84$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.99 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x294b…22d2backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…05e5backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 156$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Ilbirs eSports | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 277 | 37.2%103 W · 174 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 149.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127d…4706backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 147.8$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd788…5f8ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 145.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 32c | 142$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ilbirs eSports | 43c | 130.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.56 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 23c | 121.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 117.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 107.61$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.18 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 103.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 101.74$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 96.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 87.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 83.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 83.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 80.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Ilbirs eSports | 34c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 75.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 73.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…f23fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 68c | 72.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 70.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 68.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 64.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ilbirs eSports | 35c | 62.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 55.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 46.04$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 45.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 44.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 40.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c8…a74cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd2…b613backed Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group AIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game 3: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.