Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85280243d4acd64e90e6b128cc3fe99f1d448472e6ed7b1e1ffe1992d30a481c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Nemiga Gaming, Ilbirs eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 11,159$6,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.51 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 6,630$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.22 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 4,935$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.47 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 4,191$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.04 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 2,297$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.06 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 2,220$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.38 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 2,114$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.52 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 2,105$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.34 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 1,961$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.11 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 1,760$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.14 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 1,578$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.25 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 1,492$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.78 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 1,381$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.1 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…ba3bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 1,350$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Ilbirs eSports | 78c | 1,287$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.64 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 1,257$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.52 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 1,250$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3b…be27backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 1,169$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.24 | 210 | 47.6%100 W · 110 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 1,147$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.56 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 1,050$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.98 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 1,048$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.6 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 869.04$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.81 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 815.96$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.18 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 811.6$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.22 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 800$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.26 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x453e…eabcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 799.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 798$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 732.61$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.11 | 589 | 43%253 W · 336 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 725.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 616.79$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.14 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b6…5d73backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 576.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.67 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 549.84$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.94 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 540.97$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 537.06$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 488.48$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.06 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e8…efdcbacked Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 469.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.38 | 194 | 56.2%109 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 463.25$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 435.6$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 406.43$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 401.36$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c3…d67dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 382.47$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f4…c1e4backed Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 348.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 426 | 39.4%168 W · 258 L | -39.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 339.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Nemiga Gaming | 13c | 323.12$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 305.67$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 280.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 256.25$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 253.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 249.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 241.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d9…b188backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 229.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 223.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 199.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.35 | 440 | 49.3%217 W · 223 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 194.7$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 37c | 181.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 587 | 46.5%273 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2f…8a03backed Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 176.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe434…f520backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 171.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 170.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 150.97$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 665 | 45.6%303 W · 362 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 149.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 128 | 60.9%78 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed Nemiga Gaming | 23c | 137.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 134.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de1…4a60backed Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 131.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 127$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…30f1backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 124.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 122.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 76c | 111$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 103.29$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 101.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 241 | 38.6%93 W · 148 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 100.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 668 | 48.5%324 W · 344 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aff…b136backed Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 324 | 45.1%146 W · 178 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 75c | 99.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 154 | 37%57 W · 97 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 94.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…98bbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 91.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…4b02backed Nemiga Gaming | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92c…dd9abacked Nemiga Gaming | 17c | 82.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 75.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 63.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 62.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Ilbirs eSports - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Game 3: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.