Fifa International · resolved market
Korea Republic to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f97eed869fb8bb59acca155cb8ebffbba3d80f12755828f6450483463ee9b33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,893$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.63 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 1,391$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.06 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 1,167$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.59 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 23c | 760.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed No | 76c | 448.34$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 77c | 387.54$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.54 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 73c | 349.46$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 75c | 197.06$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 168$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2f…5468backed Yes | 31c | 141.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 157 | 8.9%14 W · 143 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20a…f546backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 76c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 75c | 51.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd677…9700backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 76c | 44.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa443…1826backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 78c | 39.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Korea Republic to win the second half?this page
- Mexico to win the second half?Yes won
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.