Tennis · resolved market
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x303d2b0ce59d6f80bcb4f10e4cad07a50bc70a0f923a3a68130a2b5d58dc257b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raul Brancaccioof Liam Broady, Raul Brancaccio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,075
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,075 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Liam Broady | 8c | 3,812$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.3 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Raul Brancaccio | 51c | 1,165$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.27 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Liam Broady | 43c | 540.59$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 47c | 467.54$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.7 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Raul Brancaccio | 50c | 433.54$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.42 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Liam Broady | 50c | 391.2$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.6 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Liam Broady | 53c | 370.37$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.3 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Liam Broady | 19c | 268.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Liam Broady | 28c | 204$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Liam Broady | 7c | 195.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Raul Brancaccio | 70c | 141.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Liam Broady | 41c | 99.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9092…0771backed Liam Broady | 20c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Liam Broady | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Liam Broady | 31c | 64.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Liam Broady | 33c | 55.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Liam Broady | 49c | 52.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Raul Brancaccio | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Liam Broady | 51c | 46.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Raul Brancaccio | 64c | 40.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Liam Broady | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Raul Brancaccio | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…245abacked Liam Broady | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Liam Broady | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.