MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30b8d0b80be97ca3acb037dab139314d4eeeaf20148f7b80e984279f29e73a56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Milwaukee Brewers, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 4,561$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.02 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 2,339$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.6 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 1,976$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.16 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,859$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.49 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 1,524$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.6 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 1,456$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.67 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 1,391$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 1,044$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 655.81$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.71 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 564.52$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.52 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…9372backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 542.5$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 518.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.41 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 375$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 317.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 290.45$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 231$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 205.63$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 199$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.61 | 289 | 43.3%125 W · 164 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Milwaukee Brewers | 20c | 184.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 169.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 167.07$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 17c | 135$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 132.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 130$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 127.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 193 | 35.8%69 W · 124 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 126.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 123.81$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 120$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 111.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 64c | 108.77$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 88.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 81.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 81.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.52 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 74.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 72.98$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c49…1862backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 353 | 53.8%190 W · 163 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3919…b3f3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 28c | 42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 41.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 40.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 30.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bb…c5dbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 30.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf8…5d40backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 21.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 74c | 21.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 17.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 17.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 14.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis CardinalsMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.