NHL · resolved market
AHL: Grand Rapids Griffins vs. Rockford IceHogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x319342d6569b8a4c54a4ffca0855928e587da44c40bf925cd8b38044ca3ea206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockford IceHogsof Grand Rapids Griffins, Rockford IceHogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,025 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 74c | 242.91$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.78 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 157.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Rockford IceHogs | 36c | 149.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Rockford IceHogs | 18c | 114.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Rockford IceHogs | 39c | 100.7$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockford IceHogs | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Rockford IceHogs | 37c | 97.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Rockford IceHogs | 22c | 87.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.12 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rockford IceHogs | 34c | 78.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 62c | 64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Rockford IceHogs | 31c | 60.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.52 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Rockford IceHogs | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Rockford IceHogs | 33c | 34.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 61c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 64c | 28.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Grand Rapids Griffins | 66c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Grand Rapids Griffins | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.