CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x321a85f683845ecfcae013c83cee1a9fcf8aa4b2f2be5402c4a54dd33849369c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galorysof Galorys, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Galorys | 55c | 2,943$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.09 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Keyd | 35c | 1,987$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.59 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Keyd | 40c | 1,561$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.4 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Keyd | 44c | 1,267$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.48 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Galorys | 59c | 720$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.9 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Galorys | 57c | 511.2$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.64 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefae…5cd1backed Keyd | 57c | 509.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.06 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Galorys | 59c | 464.63$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.96 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Galorys | 44c | 414.15$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.55 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Keyd | 72c | 408$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.6 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keyd | 60c | 364$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.57 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…019dbacked Keyd | 18c | 308.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Keyd | 54c | 290$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galorys | 46c | 239.32$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Keyd | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…cbe5backed Galorys | 69c | 172.84$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 50c | 165.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Galorys | 56c | 165.95$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Keyd | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Keyd | 41c | 138$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Keyd | 27c | 112.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Keyd | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 199 | 35.7%71 W · 128 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…87e4backed Keyd | 33c | 72.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Keyd | 39c | 59.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked Keyd | 27c | 56.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Galorys | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Galorys | 30c | 42.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Galorys | 52c | 38.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Galorys | 41c | 32.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Galorys | 53c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Keyd | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Keyd | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…942bbacked Galorys | 58c | 25.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Galorys | 65c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Galorys | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Galorys | 72c | 19.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 61cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…e152backed Keyd | 70c | 16.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82be…75abbacked Galorys | 65c | 16.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerGalorys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Galorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.