CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cd77c477657e3afa16cff9afc1ee1b098b0f56e0a43d5690a4dbad7c0b50c8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galorysof Galorys, Keyd
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…3887backed Keyd | 18c | 2,097$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.58 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Galorys | 45c | 1,908$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.18 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Keyd | 36c | 1,113$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.17 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Keyd | 10c | 1,003$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Keyd | 39c | 818.97$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.42 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Galorys | 73c | 818.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.14 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galorys | 74c | 702.71$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.61 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Galorys | 64c | 616.96$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.42 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Keyd | 40c | 559.15$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.79 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Keyd | 5c | 534$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Keyd | 39c | 510$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.66 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Galorys | 66c | 453.53$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.57 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…47c9backed Keyd | 4c | 379.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Keyd | 36c | 341.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.57 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Keyd | 6c | 324.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Keyd | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 39c | 307.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.63 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Galorys | 61c | 306$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Galorys | 48c | 292$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Galorys | 45c | 287$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.13 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Galorys | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 150 | 63.3%95 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Galorys | 69c | 170.44$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Keyd | 33c | 156$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Galorys | 65c | 154.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Keyd | 33c | 149$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Galorys | 72c | 121.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Galorys | 44c | 116$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Keyd | 33c | 109.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Keyd | 30c | 102$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 38c | 100.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Galorys | 69c | 97.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Keyd | 18c | 97.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Galorys | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Galorys | 62c | 80.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Keyd | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Galorys | 68c | 73.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Galorys | 63c | 65$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Keyd | 33c | 59.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Galorys | 59c | 54.8$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ca33backed Keyd | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…5327backed Galorys | 62c | 52.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Keyd | 31c | 52.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Galorys | 64c | 47.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Keyd | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Galorys | 68c | 39.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Galorys | 59c | 32.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Galorys | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Galorys | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Galorys | 69c | 21.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed Galorys | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa288…401cbacked Keyd | 60c | 18.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed Galorys | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 1 WinnerGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 2 WinnerGalorys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: GLS (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Galorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.