CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GAMEHARMONY vs Aimhaus (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #5 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x325c27d8fe1133907edd537956431dd9a3828deee7053a47c5af4d467d4fe755
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aimhausof GAMEHARMONY, Aimhaus
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Aimhaus | 66c | 1,794$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.97 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed GAMEHARMONY | 32c | 778.33$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.89 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GAMEHARMONY | 16c | 519$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GAMEHARMONY | 24c | 478.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.89 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked GAMEHARMONY | 23c | 438.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed GAMEHARMONY | 32c | 391.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.2 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed GAMEHARMONY | 13c | 280.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked GAMEHARMONY | 38c | 257.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Aimhaus | 70c | 222.66$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.85 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked GAMEHARMONY | 33c | 194.53$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Aimhaus | 59c | 127.75$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…09dcbacked Aimhaus | 64c | 122.23$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked GAMEHARMONY | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed GAMEHARMONY | 25c | 107.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked GAMEHARMONY | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked GAMEHARMONY | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Aimhaus | 32c | 92.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Aimhaus | 65c | 72.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed GAMEHARMONY | 30c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Aimhaus | 75c | 61.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Aimhaus | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Aimhaus | 72c | 46.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed Aimhaus | 68c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Aimhaus | 75c | 40.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked GAMEHARMONY | 30c | 37.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked Aimhaus | 59c | 31.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb41…b1adbacked Aimhaus | 68c | 26.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa36…bd96backed Aimhaus | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Aimhaus | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Aimhaus | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Aimhaus | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Aimhaus | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.