South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3282e351dc419c7f32903ff2e9e6857202b1bb2d90c79de694d80807d602c012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Under | 40c | 1,475$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.67 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 445.42$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.64 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 51c | 443.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.93 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 371$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.39 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 165.38$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 73c | 159$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 30c | 126.4$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 58c | 123$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 64c | 121$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 59c | 110.85$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 49c | 110.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Over | 59c | 100.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 59c | 87.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 43c | 58.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 50c | 56.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 56.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 51c | 56.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 51c | 53.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 54c | 38.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 60c | 36.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f8…0e89backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb349…39d8backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 78c | 12.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.83 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Atlas FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.