South American Leagues · resolved market
Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x577a03607c4c46ce214106b4519454f249b950ed5a103c856dd32e0eb026381e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,745
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,745 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 41c | 5,157$2,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,133.03 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 25c | 3,969$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 65c | 2,536$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.37 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 60c | 2,105$1,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.79 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 1,841$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.38 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 23c | 1,252$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.15 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 44c | 1,107$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.82 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 44c | 961$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.16 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 56c | 939$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.84 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 44c | 920$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.2 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Under | 9c | 853.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.19 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 5c | 770.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 717.45$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.52 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 579.12$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 6c | 416.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Under | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 65c | 371.13$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.48 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…033ebacked Under | 6c | 366.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 76c | 335.2$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.45 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 56c | 333$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Over | 80c | 326.81$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 17c | 308.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 40c | 304.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Under | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 56c | 277.56$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 42c | 220.13$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.76 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 31c | 216.77$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 41c | 207.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 52c | 187.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 65c | 183.48$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.04 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 44c | 175.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 21c | 175$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Over | 65c | 155$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Over | 67c | 116.54$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 115.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 41c | 111.26$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.88 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 64c | 104.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 36c | 104.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.71 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 61c | 90.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfca9…7b25backed Over | 70c | 63.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 70c | 60.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 24c | 57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 32c | 54.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 27c | 52.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 55c | 50.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 66c | 46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 44c | 36.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 76c | 35.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 61c | 25.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa891…a1c1backed Over | 58c | 20.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 57c | 19.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb111…393ebacked Over | 57c | 18.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26cd…2c85backed Over | 76c | 16.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 68c | 15.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 88 | 87.5%77 W · 11 L | +19.9wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +42%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5this page
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Atlas FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 0.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5Over won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 4.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 5.5Under won
- Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: Tigres de la UANL O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-1.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Atlas FC (-2.5)Tigres de la UANL won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)Atlas FC won
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-2.5)Atlas FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.