NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Sharks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f7ac0353ab592ad416745bb5698d4d9c7fbf921470c278f15178a6f45c7cef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ducksof Ducks, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Ducks | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,024.99 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Sharks | 72c | 3,558$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,567.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sharks | 17c | 3,380$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.51 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Sharks | 45c | 2,853$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.77 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Ducks | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Ducks | 32c | 2,688$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,826.45 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Ducks | 28c | 2,400$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Sharks | 45c | 2,191$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.3 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sharks | 68c | 2,031$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.73 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea9…e3c0backed Sharks | 20c | 1,831$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sharks | 13c | 1,780$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.15 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Sharks | 44c | 1,747$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.4 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Ducks | 54c | 1,305$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.08 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ducks | 28c | 1,141$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.52 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Ducks | 54c | 1,110$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.6 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Sharks | 50c | 1,016$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.64 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sharks | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Sharks | 45c | 968.52$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.65 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Ducks | 26c | 819.73$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.63 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Sharks | 45c | 799.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Ducks | 78c | 683$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Sharks | 45c | 593.02$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.22 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sharks | 47c | 529.28$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.76 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sharks | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sharks | 26c | 477.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Ducks | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | +7.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Ducks | 54c | 444$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.46 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Ducks | 8c | 438.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.7 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Ducks | 30c | 430$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Sharks | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 211 | 47.4%100 W · 111 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Ducks | 12c | 400$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…2521backed Ducks | 53c | 375.87$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.66 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Ducks | 52c | 361.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Sharks | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Sharks | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Sharks | 60c | 273.01$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.71 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Ducks | 54c | 270.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ducks | 35c | 252$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ducks | 53c | 252$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Sharks | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Sharks | 46c | 249.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.91 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Ducks | 11c | 236.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.36 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Ducks | 55c | 222.22$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sharks | 72c | 205$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.85 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Ducks | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…23dabacked Sharks | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa397…1041backed Ducks | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…4093backed Sharks | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae56…8553backed Ducks | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Sharks | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Sharks | 47c | 136.7$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Sharks | 46c | 131$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Sharks | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Ducks | 39c | 125.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.99 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…71fdbacked Ducks | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Sharks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Ducks | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Sharks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sharks | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Ducks | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Sharks | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Ducks | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Ducks | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Ducks | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Sharks | 45c | 80.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…85d0backed Sharks | 47c | 80.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…604abacked Ducks | 54c | 79.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…b521backed Sharks | 47c | 77.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2c…17c6backed Ducks | 54c | 76.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Sharks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Sharks | 47c | 48.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Sharks | 46c | 48.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…5461backed Ducks | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Sharks | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Sharks | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Ducks | 54c | 41.69$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…4617backed Ducks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Sharks | 51c | 38.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdceb…cd72backed Sharks | 52c | 38.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…68febacked Ducks | 52c | 38.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…8d2cbacked Ducks | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Sharks | 45c | 35.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Sharks | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e7…af6bbacked Sharks | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 478 | 45.8%219 W · 259 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Ducks | 53c | 29.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Ducks | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…6819backed Ducks | 55c | 21.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…22f3backed Sharks | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.