NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3379bc97c1db7492820b7d4ff9d4579628ba050c41c19ff13b56cd7acee900b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $188,471
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,471 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 29,312$17,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,922.56 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Timberwolves | 61c | 17,653$10,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,815.75 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Nuggets | 21c | 13,112$2,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.35 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Nuggets | 63c | 9,483$6,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,013.25 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Nuggets | 39c | 9,450$3,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.2 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Timberwolves | 24c | 5,139$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,891.61 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nuggets | 43c | 4,797$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069.46 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Nuggets | 30c | 4,760$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.7 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Nuggets | 62c | 3,356$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.08 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53e7…9a6fbacked Nuggets | 19c | 2,934$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Nuggets | 42c | 2,662$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.93 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Nuggets | 24c | 2,472$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.19 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Timberwolves | 62c | 1,969$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.18 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Timberwolves | 79c | 1,900$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x738d…4df6backed Nuggets | 6c | 1,820$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…28acbacked Nuggets | 22c | 1,620$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98a…2a0cbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,531$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Timberwolves | 62c | 1,463$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.86 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…b1ecbacked Nuggets | 38c | 1,313$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4532…7343backed Nuggets | 29c | 1,244$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Nuggets | 37c | 1,189$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.08 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,094$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.53 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Nuggets | 37c | 1,075$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.64 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nuggets | 38c | 1,027$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.97 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…d60bbacked Nuggets | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Timberwolves | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Timberwolves | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Timberwolves | 14c | 967.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.97 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…cdbebacked Nuggets | 27c | 937.03$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Timberwolves | 63c | 850$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.73 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ee…ae97backed Timberwolves | 65c | 755.66$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.37 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Timberwolves | 38c | 752.63$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.63 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…e61abacked Nuggets | 68c | 734.88$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Timberwolves | 10c | 729.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.17 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Nuggets | 23c | 689.39$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.56 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Nuggets | 26c | 600$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Timberwolves | 58c | 550$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Nuggets | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Timberwolves | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4258…b969backed Nuggets | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a6…73fdbacked Nuggets | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Nuggets | 43c | 464.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Timberwolves | 60c | 444$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Nuggets | 37c | 416.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Nuggets | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5433…0d50backed Nuggets | 44c | 383.61$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Nuggets | 34c | 369.62$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.4 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…63abbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 338.49$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.09 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Timberwolves | 60c | 333$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 238 | 35.7%85 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Nuggets | 13c | 320$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Timberwolves | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…6176backed Nuggets | 68c | 294.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.28 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Timberwolves | 63c | 281.64$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.87 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Nuggets | 38c | 270$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…9a61backed Timberwolves | 67c | 268.23$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.31 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…0548backed Nuggets | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd09…4198backed Nuggets | 80c | 253$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.4 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91f…e659backed Timberwolves | 62c | 251.29$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Nuggets | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Nuggets | 72c | 232.59$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.76 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Nuggets | 33c | 229.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…eafebacked Nuggets | 18c | 218.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Timberwolves | 44c | 192.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.89 | 238 | 33.2%79 W · 159 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Timberwolves | 35c | 178.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Nuggets | 24c | 167.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Nuggets | 30c | 160.65$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 532 | 50.4%268 W · 264 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f86…3a77backed Timberwolves | 79c | 159.57$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…b5a0backed Nuggets | 22c | 157.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -7.6wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…6811backed Timberwolves | 50c | 134.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Nuggets | 38c | 128.34$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 276 | 31.2%86 W · 190 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b47…c16dbacked Nuggets | 38c | 115.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Nuggets | 36c | 111.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d5…53f7backed Timberwolves | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 109.11$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…d5c1backed Nuggets | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Nuggets | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac9…894fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 104.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…f959backed Timberwolves | 61c | 104.76$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…f457backed Nuggets | 40c | 104$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Nuggets | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Timberwolves | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…91e3backed Nuggets | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Timberwolves | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…77e6backed Timberwolves | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Nuggets | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 293 | 55.3%162 W · 131 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Timberwolves | 25c | 97.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Timberwolves | 59c | 90.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe1…7a5bbacked Nuggets | 41c | 90.24$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…8d23backed Nuggets | 36c | 89.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…dd8ebacked Nuggets | 40c | 89.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd431…1dfbbacked Nuggets | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…3216backed Nuggets | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…fa9bbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeae…821ebacked Timberwolves | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e2ebbacked Nuggets | 36c | 77.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Nuggets | 37c | 74.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.