Tennis · resolved market
ITF Decatur: Madison Brengle vs Lea Ma
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x338cc34f779a3f74f97ac1d6578b42854bde89ace1ad32a1b700b38a760a4a92
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lea Maof Madison Brengle, Lea Ma
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,727
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,727 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lea Ma | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.65 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Lea Ma | 42c | 390$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.22 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…8434backed Madison Brengle | 27c | 370.42$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lea Ma | 34c | 280.48$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Madison Brengle | 17c | 183.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lea Ma | 47c | 169.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Madison Brengle | 65c | 154.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Madison Brengle | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Madison Brengle | 8c | 143.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Madison Brengle | 35c | 140.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lea Ma | 34c | 134.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Madison Brengle | 60c | 126.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 290 | 48.3%140 W · 150 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lea Ma | 34c | 117.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.64 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Madison Brengle | 65c | 105.66$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lea Ma | 58c | 103.83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Madison Brengle | 64c | 93.43$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lea Ma | 48c | 93.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…3be3backed Madison Brengle | 61c | 88.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…ad76backed Madison Brengle | 38c | 87.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Madison Brengle | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…85b6backed Lea Ma | 79c | 81.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lea Ma | 64c | 65.05$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Lea Ma | 35c | 58.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Lea Ma | 76c | 55.97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa276…dcfabacked Madison Brengle | 66c | 47.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Madison Brengle | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7de8…10ffbacked Madison Brengle | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Madison Brengle | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Madison Brengle | 64c | 38.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Madison Brengle | 57c | 30.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…8f17backed Madison Brengle | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…17c4backed Madison Brengle | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.