CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c08cb926f2a949598bcebe87edc232d5f6e180378cb502ba5e70fbb343a76a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HAVUof Rebels Gaming, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7069…325bbacked HAVU | 51c | 2,097$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.65 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HAVU | 52c | 1,349$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.56 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked HAVU | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rebels Gaming | 43c | 967$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.81 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Rebels Gaming | 49c | 858.34$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.59 | 341 | 40.8%139 W · 202 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Rebels Gaming | 49c | 816$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.42 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rebels Gaming | 49c | 634.27$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Rebels Gaming | 48c | 589.91$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.16 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rebels Gaming | 49c | 467.57$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.11 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed HAVU | 42c | 358.55$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Rebels Gaming | 49c | 358.08$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.46 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rebels Gaming | 44c | 351$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.52 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Rebels Gaming | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Rebels Gaming | 51c | 197.02$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.06 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rebels Gaming | 44c | 175.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…760cbacked Rebels Gaming | 9c | 173.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Rebels Gaming | 57c | 144$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Rebels Gaming | 49c | 137.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked HAVU | 70c | 120$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Rebels Gaming | 49c | 102.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed HAVU | 43c | 90.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.18 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Rebels Gaming | 21c | 78.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HAVU | 62c | 70.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked HAVU | 55c | 51.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Rebels Gaming | 57c | 49.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rebels Gaming | 47c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Rebels Gaming | 36c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked Rebels Gaming | 60c | 27.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30c…a7a7backed Rebels Gaming | 42c | 25.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Rebels Gaming | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StageRebels Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerRebels Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.