CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91e47c37c61780c6f806314ac6971313ac6c0f31c38ee4099a33ae67ff3a5c65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rebels Gamingof Rebels Gaming, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,581
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,581 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36f9…4df8backed Rebels Gaming | 52c | 1,949$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.88 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Rebels Gaming | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…b7aabacked HAVU | 57c | 999.99$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked HAVU | 43c | 677.47$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.46 | 949 | 45.8%435 W · 514 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked HAVU | 73c | 604.26$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.83 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Rebels Gaming | 44c | 544.23$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.61 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 50c | 494.82$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rebels Gaming | 62c | 484.95$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.71 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed HAVU | 51c | 327.8$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HAVU | 21c | 268.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed HAVU | 54c | 262.08$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.3 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed HAVU | 49c | 224.32$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.92 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Rebels Gaming | 67c | 213$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.25 | 504 | 58.5%295 W · 209 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rebels Gaming | 42c | 193.22$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed HAVU | 50c | 190$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rebels Gaming | 52c | 187.5$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.78 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed HAVU | 51c | 168$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.11 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a4…895bbacked HAVU | 37c | 160.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked HAVU | 39c | 152.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed HAVU | 34c | 143.89$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfe…5c6cbacked HAVU | 54c | 143$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.12 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Rebels Gaming | 49c | 136.73$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.73 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 125.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.99 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rebels Gaming | 60c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed HAVU | 44c | 68.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Rebels Gaming | 43c | 67.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Rebels Gaming | 63c | 62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97d…e699backed HAVU | 43c | 57.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96db…499fbacked HAVU | 54c | 54.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed HAVU | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 687 | 49.6%341 W · 346 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Rebels Gaming | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked HAVU | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Rebels Gaming | 52c | 31.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed HAVU | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HAVU | 46c | 29.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ff…b8debacked HAVU | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Rebels Gaming | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StageRebels Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU - Map 1 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.