Fifa International · resolved market
Amad Diallo: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3480c83a4d1aeefe996542b0907f70186fb4bc5d083176e600d48fd1ce816ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,540
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,540 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 60c | 947$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.7 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 59c | 341.97$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.21 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…8cf5backed Yes | 39c | 258.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 60c | 253.54$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 62c | 239$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 58c | 230.57$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.84 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 60c | 196.9$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.05 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Yes | 39c | 173.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +11.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…a89ebacked Yes | 42c | 142.24$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 42c | 120.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 34.7%34 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 61c | 112.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…ac32backed Yes | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 88.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 66c | 77.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f2…1652backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…07f8backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…f3b1backed Yes | 29c | 70.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…835dbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 272 | 42.3%115 W · 157 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…19e5backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Yes | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 38c | 29.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 40c | 28.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee1a…a6f9backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Amad Diallo: 1+ goalsthis page
- Amad Diallo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goalsNo won
- Franck Kessié: 1+ goalsNo won
- Franck Kessié: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Sangaré: 1+ assistsYes won
- Ibrahim Sangaré: 2+ assistsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goalsYes won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Oumar Diakité: 3+ goalsNo won
- Yan Diomandé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Yan Diomandé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Yan Diomandé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Yan Diomandé: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.