Fifa International · resolved market
Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6907e123866dba821c4caa29245a8e6f6dafdbf77c308786352ea68a6e2dca1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 65c | 167.11$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 64c | 159.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked Yes | 35c | 140.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 36c | 139.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.76 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…9d42backed Yes | 38c | 101.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.31 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1406…b512backed Yes | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 69c | 74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Yes | 44c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 132 | 68.2%90 W · 42 L | +20.0wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 58c | 47.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 78c | 39.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 70c | 35.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 65c | 31.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked No | 60c | 23.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nicolas Pépé: 1+ goalsthis page
- Amad Diallo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Amad Diallo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ange-Yoan Bonny: 1+ goalsNo won
- Franck Kessié: 1+ goalsNo won
- Franck Kessié: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ibrahim Sangaré: 1+ assistsYes won
- Ibrahim Sangaré: 2+ assistsNo won
- Nicolas Pépé: 2+ goalsYes won
- Oumar Diakité: 3+ goalsNo won
- Yan Diomandé: 1+ assistsYes won
- Yan Diomandé: 1+ goalsNo won
- Yan Diomandé: 2+ goalsNo won
- Yan Diomandé: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.