Tennis · resolved market
Rome: Teodora Kostovic vs Jennifer Ruggeri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35383aaf14e2fa1b82057325e38cff55d31d7b974deb6c1c724985c7cc03b063
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Teodora Kostovicof Teodora Kostovic, Jennifer Ruggeri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 2c | 11,969$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.05 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 16c | 8,235$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.64 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 25c | 3,006$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 9c | 998.38$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.11 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 10c | 530.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 30c | 460.15$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c3…f740backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 12c | 312.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | -16.4wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 26c | 290.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 27c | 194.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 28c | 180.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 508 | 45.9%233 W · 275 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…94c8backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 16c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed Teodora Kostovic | 77c | 133.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.97 | 549 | 55.2%303 W · 246 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Teodora Kostovic | 77c | 133.57$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 26c | 120.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 26c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 26c | 118.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Teodora Kostovic | 73c | 101.05$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 18c | 73.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 28c | 71.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Teodora Kostovic | 74c | 70.94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 27c | 59.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4149…44c4backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 27c | 58.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jennifer Ruggeri | 27c | 54.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Teodora Kostovic | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 26c | 49.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948e…b321backed Teodora Kostovic | 73c | 40.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jennifer Ruggeri | 27c | 40.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Teodora Kostovic | 73c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10dd…4831backed Teodora Kostovic | 74c | 27.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Teodora Kostovic | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Teodora Kostovic | 73c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.