Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3566e398270b8bf830a47995ebd9b0ef7f0291fc776156ff8eb9962b7ca32018
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FULL SENSEof T1, FULL SENSE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked T1 | 72c | 7,996$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.67 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked FULL SENSE | 58c | 5,440$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.5 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FULL SENSE | 33c | 1,805$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.39 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed T1 | 47c | 1,583$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked FULL SENSE | 27c | 1,406$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.65 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed T1 | 31c | 1,406$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.59 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…e454backed FULL SENSE | 62c | 1,322$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.37 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed T1 | 49c | 1,154$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.09 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea1…d143backed FULL SENSE | 41c | 890.73$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.3 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FULL SENSE | 45c | 836.69$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.92 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f70…ce77backed T1 | 13c | 800$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 12cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcff0…fa1abacked T1 | 13c | 540.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 13cpaid | +204.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed T1 | 42c | 473.04$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked T1 | 53c | 442.67$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.1 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked T1 | 50c | 400.12$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.17 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed T1 | 67c | 386.9$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed T1 | 21c | 375$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe08b…614fbacked FULL SENSE | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845a…37acbacked T1 | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.45per pick | 15cpaid | +266.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FULL SENSE | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked T1 | 69c | 262.68$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.03 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed FULL SENSE | 29c | 254.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.82 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed T1 | 66c | 233.33$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed T1 | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed FULL SENSE | 47c | 198.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…b93abacked T1 | 50c | 181$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed T1 | 65c | 179$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.38 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed T1 | 23c | 173$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 158 | 39.2%62 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f68…ef58backed T1 | 69c | 160.04$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed T1 | 36c | 155.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed T1 | 62c | 152$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.68 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…e32bbacked T1 | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +237.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed T1 | 65c | 145$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ec…9dadbacked T1 | 63c | 143.45$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed T1 | 71c | 141.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…95dcbacked T1 | 11c | 134.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked FULL SENSE | 44c | 122.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed T1 | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed T1 | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 122 | 43.4%53 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b60…5c4ebacked T1 | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba3…9a44backed T1 | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 15cpaid | +344.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked T1 | 71c | 91.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed T1 | 68c | 90.25$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.07 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed T1 | 13c | 84.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked FULL SENSE | 37c | 81.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed T1 | 66c | 79.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.43 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed FULL SENSE | 54c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FULL SENSE | 36c | 58.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FULL SENSE | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed FULL SENSE | 32c | 45.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked T1 | 67c | 45.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed T1 | 65c | 44.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa103…db38backed T1 | 58c | 40.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked T1 | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 251 | 41.4%104 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed T1 | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…d9babacked FULL SENSE | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01bc…6c9fbacked FULL SENSE | 54c | 35.08$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked FULL SENSE | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed FULL SENSE | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb95…1d78backed FULL SENSE | 54c | 27.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked T1 | 73c | 27.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…62b2backed T1 | 63c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f0…4740backed T1 | 50c | 22.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs FULL SENSE (+1.5)FULL SENSE won
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaT1 won
- Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 WinnerT1 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.