Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35a7f17d4e0949895c1ddc54e60fb20e809bb59f8951b87129a792c5084bbf25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 60c | 6,237$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.37 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 6,149$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.7 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 35c | 5,000$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.74 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 65c | 1,956$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.43 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 64c | 1,427$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.45 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed No | 37c | 1,107$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.41 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 65c | 529.63$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.47 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 65c | 526.42$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.56 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 35c | 524.99$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 77c | 344.16$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.16 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Yes | 66c | 292.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.57 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 65c | 288$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 65c | 254.8$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 65c | 245.1$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 65c | 238.46$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 65c | 217.32$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Yes | 65c | 215.51$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.43 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 65c | 114.79$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.18 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 62c | 84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 62c | 81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Yes | 63c | 76.76$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 41c | 73.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8a…0af1backed Yes | 78c | 71.94$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 35c | 61.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 62c | 48.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked Yes | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 65c | 42.65$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 65c | 42.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Yes | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Yes | 62c | 42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Yes | 62c | 36.13$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 63c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed Yes | 65c | 32.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Yes | 65c | 27.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Yes | 66c | 23.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Valletta FC vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?No won
- Will Valletta FC win on 2026-07-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.