Tennis · resolved market
Trieste: Andrea Guerrieri vs Hugo Dellien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35dbdd50eef6f78627badfa4f31ce81af8564d12085c8046218e76e50f34ec19
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Dellienof Andrea Guerrieri, Hugo Dellien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,701
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andrea Guerrieri | 5c | 13,492$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.77 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hugo Dellien | 71c | 1,677$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.16 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andrea Guerrieri | 18c | 1,440$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.5 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 1,006$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.92 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hugo Dellien | 64c | 1,000$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.68 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Hugo Dellien | 79c | 991.51$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Andrea Guerrieri | 10c | 865.66$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.15 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1ce0backed Hugo Dellien | 69c | 724.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.75 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Hugo Dellien | 56c | 523.16$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.95 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Andrea Guerrieri | 48c | 494.68$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Hugo Dellien | 56c | 484.13$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.36 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Hugo Dellien | 79c | 414.55$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5965…935fbacked Hugo Dellien | 75c | 396.53$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.83 | 173 | 23.7%41 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Andrea Guerrieri | 42c | 385.1$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.46 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 40c | 330.88$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Andrea Guerrieri | 14c | 303.37$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 286.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Hugo Dellien | 73c | 275$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 232.31$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Andrea Guerrieri | 22c | 208.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Hugo Dellien | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Hugo Dellien | 57c | 158.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.42 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 153.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Andrea Guerrieri | 29c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 43c | 103.64$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Andrea Guerrieri | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 247 | 40.1%99 W · 148 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Hugo Dellien | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 88.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Hugo Dellien | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Andrea Guerrieri | 18c | 76.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hugo Dellien | 56c | 72.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Hugo Dellien | 50c | 70.07$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Hugo Dellien | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Andrea Guerrieri | 20c | 67.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Hugo Dellien | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 53.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Andrea Guerrieri | 19c | 52.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Hugo Dellien | 71c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Hugo Dellien | 76c | 46.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Hugo Dellien | 55c | 45.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…2581backed Andrea Guerrieri | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +11.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 29c | 39.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Hugo Dellien | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…b70dbacked Hugo Dellien | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Hugo Dellien | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Hugo Dellien | 55c | 32.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Andrea Guerrieri | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Hugo Dellien | 56c | 27.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Andrea Guerrieri | 45c | 22.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Hugo Dellien | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…0f35backed Hugo Dellien | 56c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.