Fifa International · resolved market
Ivan Perišić: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37292041537a736b92eae5775c167bb07d209e23e114dfe1129a8a1a374ea7be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 79c | 1,219$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.87 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 15c | 656.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 74c | 568.74$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.55 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Yes | 26c | 390$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 27c | 375$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 72c | 327.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 27c | 260.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 24c | 245.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40cc…4c9abacked Yes | 26c | 142.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 74c | 108.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd424…bf7bbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…40bcbacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ef…19aebacked Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 73c | 54.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5e…0b2bbacked Yes | 26c | 41.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 73c | 39.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 73c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ goalsthis page
- Andrej Kramarić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ante Budimir: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cecilio Waterman: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cecilio Waterman: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cecilio Waterman: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Igor Matanović: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 2+ assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luka Sučić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 3+ shotsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mario Pašalić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mario Pašalić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 1+ goalsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 3+ goalsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nikola Vlašić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Toni Fruk: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.