Fifa International · resolved market
Luka Modrić: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e515b948a0b5705f8e4072d60a2a58af9a494540d8c3b841a0bdd8992a19772
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 77c | 2,260$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.71 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 78c | 938.86$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 23c | 655.48$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…c8e4backed Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 21c | 390.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.76 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…1225backed Yes | 23c | 308.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 93 | 15.1%14 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 8c | 263.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…239dbacked Yes | 22c | 260.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 79c | 257$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 80c | 247$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…7199backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…01f8backed Yes | 28c | 181.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 20c | 147$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…e7a8backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 22c | 113.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 291 | 38.5%112 W · 179 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 147 | 63.9%94 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Yes | 20c | 93.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes | 24c | 83.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 69c | 66.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 23c | 64.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…43e2backed Yes | 28c | 50.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 77c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 77c | 39.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Luka Modrić: 1+ goalsthis page
- Andrej Kramarić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ante Budimir: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cecilio Waterman: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cecilio Waterman: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cecilio Waterman: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Igor Matanović: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 2+ assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luka Sučić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 3+ shotsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mario Pašalić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mario Pašalić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 1+ goalsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 3+ goalsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nikola Vlašić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Toni Fruk: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.