Fifa International · resolved market
Ivan Perišić: 1+ assists
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76349835731cd998fb289e63c2f4ba1736adabcab752a717e03af824c8fe70b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,013
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 71c | 547.86$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.88 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76c…dc83backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 16.3%26 W · 134 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 67c | 263.03$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.8 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e4…aa4abacked Yes | 38c | 256.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 30c | 248.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 68c | 134.5$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 60c | 131.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefee…5c77backed Yes | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…7ce4backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…c770backed Yes | 31c | 85.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed No | 66c | 66.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 379 | 71.2%270 W · 109 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…bd16backed Yes | 34c | 58.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…a29dbacked Yes | 35c | 57.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf8…5686backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x525e…ee0dbacked Yes | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…ba1ebacked No | 65c | 42.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 343 | 57.7%198 W · 145 L | +26.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8704…566cbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 65 | 84.6%55 W · 10 L | +11.4wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +29%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked No | 61c | 36.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ assiststhis page
- Andrej Kramarić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Andrej Kramarić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ante Budimir: 1+ goalsYes won
- Ante Budimir: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cecilio Waterman: 1+ goalsNo won
- Cecilio Waterman: 3+ goalsNo won
- Cecilio Waterman: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Igor Matanović: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Díaz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ismael Díaz: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ assistsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Ivan Perišić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 1+ assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 2+ assistsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 2+ goalsNo won
- Luka Modrić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Luka Sučić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 3+ shotsNo won
- Marco Pašalić: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Mario Pašalić: 1+ goalsNo won
- Mario Pašalić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 1+ goalsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 3+ goalsNo won
- Martin Baturina: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Nikola Vlašić: 3+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 1+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 2+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 3+ goalsNo won
- Petar Musa: 4+ goals + assistsNo won
- Toni Fruk: 3+ goalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.