Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Tomas Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37f31e2925c890fd5cf538ae06dd2161d6639c028079d0825429642fbdcd44af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Lehecka, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $98,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0254…34b3backed Lehecka | 79c | 39,661$31,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,301.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Etcheverry | 24c | 20,000$4,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,732.41 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Etcheverry | 35c | 8,457$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.92 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Etcheverry | 20c | 6,215$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.97 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Etcheverry | 22c | 6,194$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.06 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…5683backed Etcheverry | 12c | 3,267$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.67 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Etcheverry | 24c | 3,081$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.35 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Lehecka | 67c | 2,642$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.9 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…e617backed Etcheverry | 21c | 2,425$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.16 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Lehecka | 75c | 2,285$1,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.3 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Etcheverry | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbc…689fbacked Lehecka | 77c | 1,291$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lehecka | 72c | 1,250$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.66 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Etcheverry | 23c | 1,046$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.69 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Etcheverry | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.6 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Lehecka | 66c | 969.42$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.6 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Etcheverry | 21c | 893$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.53 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Etcheverry | 23c | 799.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Etcheverry | 21c | 742.09$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.84 | 159 | 57.2%91 W · 68 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Etcheverry | 33c | 499.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Etcheverry | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Etcheverry | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Etcheverry | 21c | 424$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.04 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Etcheverry | 21c | 400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Lehecka | 66c | 372.98$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Etcheverry | 33c | 363.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Lehecka | 64c | 357.09$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.81 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Etcheverry | 8c | 356$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Etcheverry | 22c | 349.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c40…ea3dbacked Lehecka | 69c | 300$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.75 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Lehecka | 57c | 291.23$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Lehecka | 78c | 220$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Lehecka | 64c | 215$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Lehecka | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Lehecka | 58c | 173.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…df6fbacked Etcheverry | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Etcheverry | 22c | 141.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Etcheverry | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Etcheverry | 21c | 117.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Etcheverry | 33c | 115.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Etcheverry | 22c | 112.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Etcheverry | 25c | 105.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Lehecka | 77c | 102.53$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lehecka | 62c | 100.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Lehecka | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca35…5b58backed Lehecka | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Lehecka | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9860…c343backed Lehecka | 77c | 84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Etcheverry | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Etcheverry | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 158 | 32.9%52 W · 106 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Lehecka | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…1bdcbacked Lehecka | 50c | 28.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.