Tennis · resolved market
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Pliskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3890f848fe3556737c804b253626837fe2d873b007566840ead63d411b23c3d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mirra Andreevaof Mirra Andreeva, Karolina Pliskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 9,008$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.4 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mirra Andreeva | 79c | 7,032$5,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.87 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 6,250$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Karolina Pliskova | 18c | 4,739$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.42 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Mirra Andreeva | 80c | 4,298$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.66 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Mirra Andreeva | 80c | 3,125$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…878dbacked Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 2,708$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.59 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karolina Pliskova | 21c | 2,487$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Karolina Pliskova | 5c | 1,864$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mirra Andreeva | 77c | 1,736$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.76 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Karolina Pliskova | 19c | 1,569$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.07 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Karolina Pliskova | 19c | 1,555$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.36 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…707fbacked Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 1,416$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Mirra Andreeva | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 175 | 56.6%99 W · 76 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Karolina Pliskova | 14c | 962.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Mirra Andreeva | 80c | 864.95$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.99 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…7357backed Karolina Pliskova | 6c | 864.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 829.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 721$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.2 | 332 | 35.2%117 W · 215 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Mirra Andreeva | 77c | 716.05$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 359 | 38.2%137 W · 222 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Karolina Pliskova | 8c | 710.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Karolina Pliskova | 21c | 589.99$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.9 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Karolina Pliskova | 14c | 437.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.54 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Karolina Pliskova | 19c | 412.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 317 | 36.9%117 W · 200 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 391.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Karolina Pliskova | 22c | 316.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Mirra Andreeva | 80c | 310.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Karolina Pliskova | 23c | 269.94$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Karolina Pliskova | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Karolina Pliskova | 7c | 225.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Karolina Pliskova | 8c | 199.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Karolina Pliskova | 10c | 191.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Karolina Pliskova | 18c | 134.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Karolina Pliskova | 19c | 134.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 126$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Karolina Pliskova | 12c | 118.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Karolina Pliskova | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Karolina Pliskova | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Karolina Pliskova | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…362ebacked Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 95.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Karolina Pliskova | 13c | 93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2db7…0762backed Karolina Pliskova | 15c | 91.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 80$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Karolina Pliskova | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Mirra Andreeva | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Mirra Andreeva | 78c | 60.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Mirra Andreeva | 80c | 54.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Karolina Pliskova | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Mirra Andreeva | 75c | 37.05$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Mirra Andreeva | 80c | 31.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed Mirra Andreeva | 80c | 31.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 181 | 47.5%86 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Mirra Andreeva | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mirra Andreeva | 77c | 21.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina Pliskovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Andreeva vs PliskovaAndreeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.