Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: sleepers vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38fed7ff481c8dd4a41399a4f0f304b1902cdda3422bcc5a0ff69a5cab913e3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- sleepersof sleepers, NRG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG Academy | 51c | 4,250$2,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.98 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NRG Academy | 60c | 3,118$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.4 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed sleepers | 40c | 3,005$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,803 | 343 | 56.9%195 W · 148 L | +23.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed NRG Academy | 58c | 1,800$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.99 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked sleepers | 53c | 1,760$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.3 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed sleepers | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed sleepers | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked sleepers | 43c | 719.19$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.94 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed sleepers | 42c | 438.8$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.5 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed sleepers | 64c | 319.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.87 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed sleepers | 43c | 262.12$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.41 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked sleepers | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked sleepers | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 104 | 60.6%63 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked sleepers | 41c | 136$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked sleepers | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…9c83backed sleepers | 41c | 109$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked sleepers | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked NRG Academy | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed sleepers | 41c | 89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked NRG Academy | 60c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked NRG Academy | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed sleepers | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da7…f04bbacked sleepers | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked NRG Academy | 54c | 45.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed sleepers | 33c | 36.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa038…3fcbbacked sleepers | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked NRG Academy | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed NRG Academy | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed sleepers | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked sleepers | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…d6cbbacked NRG Academy | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacc…23c6backed NRG Academy | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed NRG Academy | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed sleepers | 61c | 24.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed NRG Academy | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…60bcbacked NRG Academy | 59c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked NRG Academy | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked NRG Academy | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed NRG Academy | 65c | 16.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.