Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Santander Men: Pablo Aunion vs Sergi Perez Contri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39783f18856cbf7a92b7cf2f732df5faa58a475868f0af63debe707531d3e0cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sergi Perez Contriof Pablo Aunion, Sergi Perez Contri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sergi Perez Contri | 52c | 4,169$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Pablo Aunion | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.99 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Pablo Aunion | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sergi Perez Contri | 53c | 559.86$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.93 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Pablo Aunion | 45c | 447.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Pablo Aunion | 45c | 314.42$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.2 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Sergi Perez Contri | 58c | 263.09$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Pablo Aunion | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pablo Aunion | 39c | 204.18$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Pablo Aunion | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Pablo Aunion | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Pablo Aunion | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Pablo Aunion | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…cc4ebacked Sergi Perez Contri | 78c | 123.18$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 69cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Pablo Aunion | 40c | 114.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Pablo Aunion | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Pablo Aunion | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Pablo Aunion | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sergi Perez Contri | 50c | 98.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Pablo Aunion | 50c | 91.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pablo Aunion | 50c | 74.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Pablo Aunion | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Pablo Aunion | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Sergi Perez Contri | 48c | 59.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Pablo Aunion | 18c | 56.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 447 | 29.3%131 W · 316 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Pablo Aunion | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Pablo Aunion | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Sergi Perez Contri | 51c | 47.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Pablo Aunion | 22c | 46.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Pablo Aunion | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pablo Aunion | 34c | 40.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Pablo Aunion | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Pablo Aunion | 50c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0b…c814backed Sergi Perez Contri | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 384 | 59.9%230 W · 154 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Pablo Aunion | 50c | 20.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sergi Perez Contri | 79c | 12.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.72 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.