Earnings · resolved market
Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a6428f54525fac1544ea52efc5a6d7717342c960a18e06cc50440b504e0f553
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 43c | 2,918$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.21 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked Yes | 51c | 2,169$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.74 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Yes | 47c | 1,768$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.01 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9521…9e2bbacked No | 49c | 1,013$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe381…3ba9backed No | 20c | 531.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 251 | 25.5%64 W · 187 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 69c | 500$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed Yes | 50c | 500$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 342 | 37.1%127 W · 215 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 79c | 255.66$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.72 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 48c | 220.56$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.22 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 55c | 213.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 48c | 199.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 108$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…3b2bbacked Yes | 47c | 106.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8a…f6a4backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…6df2backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 53c | 95.49$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4708…9580backed Yes | 80c | 90.91$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…2fc1backed Yes | 51c | 81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -60%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…27c9backed No | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 54cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…5db6backed Yes | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 56c | 76.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -11.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…ab54backed No | 50c | 52.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 179 | 35.2%63 W · 116 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebbf…cf44backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11b9…d361backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…95d3backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…44e3backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…1011backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -8.7wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…5bd4backed No | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -7.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb141…aa3bbacked No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…ca5dbacked No | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…a70ebacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 53c | 44.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…95f4backed No | 51c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -10.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c62…7be3backed Yes | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.