Tennis · resolved market
ITF Marburg: Michel Hopp vs Federico Iannaccone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ac68b6c09422786cd85ca0264c6ef3db149fe3b80f491f8ba389d752d5945d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michel Hoppof Michel Hopp, Federico Iannaccone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Federico Iannaccone | 75c | 6,596$4,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,957.95 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Michel Hopp | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Michel Hopp | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Michel Hopp | 24c | 913.11$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.12 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Michel Hopp | 23c | 856.03$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.4 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Michel Hopp | 23c | 803.09$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.38 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Federico Iannaccone | 77c | 720$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.4 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Michel Hopp | 27c | 682.82$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.11 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Michel Hopp | 23c | 578.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.26 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Federico Iannaccone | 25c | 479$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Federico Iannaccone | 38c | 478.52$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.13 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Michel Hopp | 28c | 450$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Federico Iannaccone | 22c | 423$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Michel Hopp | 23c | 409.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.67 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Michel Hopp | 22c | 345.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Michel Hopp | 28c | 273.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.18 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Federico Iannaccone | 46c | 238.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.76 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Michel Hopp | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Michel Hopp | 23c | 186.96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.96 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Michel Hopp | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721c…d585backed Michel Hopp | 50c | 144.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.74 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Federico Iannaccone | 78c | 136.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Michel Hopp | 28c | 128.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.67 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Federico Iannaccone | 23c | 128$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Federico Iannaccone | 53c | 115.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Michel Hopp | 26c | 115$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Michel Hopp | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Michel Hopp | 23c | 84.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Michel Hopp | 23c | 84.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.43 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Michel Hopp | 23c | 75.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Michel Hopp | 25c | 72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Federico Iannaccone | 20c | 59.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Michel Hopp | 25c | 56.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Michel Hopp | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Michel Hopp | 21c | 49.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Michel Hopp | 28c | 48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Michel Hopp | 28c | 44.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Michel Hopp | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Federico Iannaccone | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Federico Iannaccone | 79c | 38.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Michel Hopp | 28c | 37.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Federico Iannaccone | 80c | 26.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Michel Hopp | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Federico Iannaccone | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Federico Iannaccone | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Federico Iannaccone | 66c | 16.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.