Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Baylor Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3afb60a26a6dd60effd85edf0cc097c49334c65241abe4a8a54bda340d3e9e8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Baylor Bearsof Colorado Buffaloes, Baylor Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,560
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,560 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Colorado Buffaloes | 26c | 30,843$8,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,019.12 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Baylor Bears | 74c | 25,000$18,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Baylor Bears | 74c | 16,022$11,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.6 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 26c | 16,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Baylor Bears | 74c | 3,600$2,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Baylor Bears | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears | 74c | 1,495$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.58 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado Buffaloes | 12c | 1,090$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.17 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 12c | 1,046$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.12 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 28c | 722.45$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Colorado Buffaloes | 26c | 534$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Baylor Bears | 74c | 420$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Baylor Bears | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Colorado Buffaloes | 8c | 374$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Colorado Buffaloes | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 16c | 230.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Baylor Bears | 77c | 174.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Colorado Buffaloes | 25c | 169$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 12c | 107.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 27c | 96.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Colorado Buffaloes | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Baylor Bears | 74c | 76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baylor Bears | 74c | 59.47$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado Buffaloes | 25c | 49.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Colorado Buffaloes | 24c | 46.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 254 | 36.6%93 W · 161 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…e949backed Baylor Bears | 72c | 36.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Baylor Bears | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 310 | 57.4%178 W · 132 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Baylor Bears | 75c | 31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Baylor Bears | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…569fbacked Baylor Bears | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Baylor Bears | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.