CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b3c60c58049c0279fe3abb2dd923779f94cb51d2348089a3354507ac765e879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof Voca, Marsborne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Voca | 72c | 3,112$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243.16 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Marsborne | 23c | 2,908$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.29 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marsborne | 31c | 2,576$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.52 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Voca | 1c | 1,553$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Voca | 68c | 1,444$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.74 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Voca | 56c | 1,076$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.58 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Voca | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Marsborne | 49c | 954.17$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.02 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marsborne | 31c | 889.07$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.46 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…afa6backed Voca | 69c | 856.16$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.95 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Voca | 56c | 812.95$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.31 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Voca | 2c | 800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Voca | 60c | 746.04$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.52 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Voca | 62c | 679.23$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.98 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Marsborne | 27c | 531.46$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.16 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…7a1ebacked Marsborne | 78c | 498.38$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.64 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Voca | 73c | 481.48$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.48 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Voca | 54c | 333$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Voca | 62c | 270.54$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.41 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Voca | 55c | 241.08$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.36 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Marsborne | 31c | 211.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.26 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Voca | 53c | 200.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Voca | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Voca | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Marsborne | 30c | 198.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Voca | 65c | 174.57$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.68 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Marsborne | 64c | 156.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Voca | 54c | 156.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Voca | 48c | 155.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Marsborne | 28c | 136.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.41 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Voca | 10c | 135.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Voca | 61c | 133.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.19 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Voca | 51c | 122$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Voca | 41c | 118.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Marsborne | 27c | 116.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Voca | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Voca | 75c | 99.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…4440backed Marsborne | 37c | 96.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Voca | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Marsborne | 37c | 74.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1,305 | 26.4%345 W · 960 L | -89.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Marsborne | 31c | 64.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Voca | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Voca | 46c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Voca | 63c | 52.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Voca | 58c | 52.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Voca | 57c | 50.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…27fbbacked Marsborne | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Voca | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…15b5backed Voca | 68c | 49.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…8cc0backed Marsborne | 78c | 49.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…abfbbacked Voca | 63c | 44.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Marsborne | 22c | 44.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…5853backed Marsborne | 35c | 44.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Voca | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Voca | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Voca | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Voca | 70c | 23.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 447 | 63.5%284 W · 163 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Voca | 54c | 23.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…6611backed Voca | 69c | 19.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Voca | 60c | 17.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 PlayoffsMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne - Map 2 WinnerVoca won
- Map Handicap: VOCA (-1.5) vs Marsborne (+1.5)Marsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.