Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2c621a13ad56b25eca109c60bed3ac58279226f1d1a004188b25b14ef3ff11

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: NS Teamof NS Team, Rostik Team
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $22,381
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $27,599

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,381 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8cfc…4f30backed NS Team	52c	2,414$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,149.12	377	45.4%171 W · 206 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked Rostik Team	64c	2,187$1,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,401.16	542	59%320 W · 222 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8342…6dc8backed Rostik Team	62c	1,688$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.24	481	53.8%259 W · 222 L	+11.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked NS Team	38c	1,590$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$987.52	801	59.1%473 W · 328 L	+16.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd039…ba3bbacked Rostik Team	54c	1,200$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.99	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c2…dc0bbacked Rostik Team	35c	1,138$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed NS Team	43c	914.94$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.29	937	46.3%434 W · 503 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked NS Team	42c	712.21$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.21	194	56.2%109 W · 85 L	+13.1wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed NS Team	38c	710.47$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$438.52	476	50.8%242 W · 234 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed NS Team	46c	706.85$327 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$379.51	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…873ebacked NS Team	40c	650.49$257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$393.3	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked NS Team	40c	368.61$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.98	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffa…7710backed Rostik Team	53c	365.39$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.44	39	46.2%18 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b6…eec6backed Rostik Team	13c	347.47$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…dd57backed Rostik Team	15c	319.85$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.98	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-3.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Rostik Team	24c	312.06$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.89	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a3d…9488backed Rostik Team	60c	280$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Rostik Team	45c	278.98$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.4	237	36.7%87 W · 150 L	-17.3wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe434…f520backed NS Team	38c	263.84$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.84	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Rostik Team	56c	232.5$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	611	57.9%354 W · 257 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Rostik Team	60c	203$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.8	241	38.6%93 W · 148 L	-18.0wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Rostik Team	62c	201$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.16	260	56.5%147 W · 113 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed Rostik Team	56c	195.97$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.07	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+4.1wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed NS Team	39c	172.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.53	133	36.8%49 W · 84 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NS Team	60c	170.18$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.57	1,707	41.2%704 W · 1,003 L	-43.5wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rostik Team	65c	162.59$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.68	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1bf…b83cbacked Rostik Team	67c	150.15$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ef2…44c9backed Rostik Team	60c	150$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-9.1wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-54%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Rostik Team	14c	148.75$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	417	32.6%136 W · 281 L	-38.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdce3…7537backed Rostik Team	60c	146.93$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.16	26	53.8%14 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eef…44a0backed Rostik Team	58c	143.78$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.75	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked NS Team	38c	139.92$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.75	614	49.5%304 W · 310 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed Rostik Team	60c	137.5$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.5	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed Rostik Team	42c	128.33$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.5	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-5.9wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Rostik Team	14c	127.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.92	246	36.6%90 W · 156 L	-14.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rostik Team	35c	122.03$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.42	899	38%342 W · 557 L	-45.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb42…f1adbacked Rostik Team	22c	116.9$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.14	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed NS Team	49c	109.73$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.41	814	45.1%367 W · 447 L	-27.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed NS Team	38c	105.53$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.53	372	53%197 W · 175 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x885a…e1e3backed Rostik Team	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Rostik Team	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fa2…6df9backed Rostik Team	60c	99.38$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.63	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed NS Team	42c	93.51$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.51	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Rostik Team	43c	83.32$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.17	128	60.9%78 W · 50 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ff3…bea6backed Rostik Team	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa050…1346backed NS Team	68c	73.75$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.75	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Rostik Team	57c	70$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dba…6929backed NS Team	43c	69.3$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.3	63	41.3%26 W · 37 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rostik Team	67c	60.98$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.07	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf9f…998bbacked NS Team	50c	58.08$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.19	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x30da…3e7abacked Rostik Team	60c	55$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed Rostik Team	38c	54.71$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	214	47.2%101 W · 113 L	+16.7wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11ff…4447backed Rostik Team	60c	51.67$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1efb…dd8abacked Rostik Team	60c	49.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.81	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed Rostik Team	57c	48.63$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.79	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed Rostik Team	60c	42$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7cb…c8dfbacked Rostik Team	65c	40$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	64cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cc…ad4cbacked NS Team	42c	35.71$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.71	106	35.8%38 W · 68 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed NS Team	72c	26.38$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.41	342	45.6%156 W · 186 L	-9.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked NS Team	41c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.75	684	45.9%314 W · 370 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Rostik Team	51c	19.61$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	213	44.1%94 W · 119 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group ANS Team won
Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team - Game 1 WinnerRostik Team won
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event