TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7cb…c8df

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
98
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT6744.8%30 W · 37 L-8.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-20.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Lol — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.83
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$179
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Groupbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
LoL: LNG Esports vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.92
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$17.9
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.21
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.08
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.3
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$11.29
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.98
LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
LoL: Shifters vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$14.71
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: SK Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.67
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$41.08
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.42
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.06
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$42.65
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+121.1%+$35.13
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$11.18
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$91
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$62.54
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+117.8%+$28.28
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$22.85
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$195.64
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.31
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$27.56
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.29
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Dota 2: YBN Team vs avice Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked avice Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$11.7
Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rostik Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.88
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$11.83
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.