Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: YBN Team vs avice Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab325cf0eb8fbb5de68fc8ed42bced3f2121d45760fb839b36769c38505a212a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- avice Teamof YBN Team, avice Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked YBN Team | 47c | 3,026$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.41 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked avice Team | 62c | 2,868$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.55 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked YBN Team | 41c | 2,415$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.43 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked avice Team | 52c | 1,578$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.07 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed YBN Team | 40c | 1,155$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.18 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked avice Team | 60c | 812.27$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.23 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…51ddbacked avice Team | 71c | 740.85$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.37 | 359 | 60.4%217 W · 142 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked avice Team | 70c | 735.99$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.6 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed YBN Team | 45c | 655.25$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.37 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed YBN Team | 31c | 464.03$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.25 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed YBN Team | 51c | 460.96$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.7 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked avice Team | 65c | 375.06$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94a3backed YBN Team | 31c | 362.11$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5233…eb29backed avice Team | 52c | 287.42$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…05e5backed avice Team | 78c | 255.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed YBN Team | 26c | 242.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked YBN Team | 30c | 205$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6a…7dccbacked avice Team | 50c | 198$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed avice Team | 62c | 186.45$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.44 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked avice Team | 61c | 177.25$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.54 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed YBN Team | 30c | 157$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…eef7backed avice Team | 67c | 155.51$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.4 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…a142backed YBN Team | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3038backed avice Team | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 235 | 62.1%146 W · 89 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed YBN Team | 28c | 140.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked YBN Team | 40c | 130.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed YBN Team | 37c | 119.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3870…c3dbbacked avice Team | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed YBN Team | 42c | 113$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…6645backed avice Team | 73c | 106.12$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…6929backed avice Team | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9235…3fbdbacked avice Team | 78c | 97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 151 | 67.5%102 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa28c…0042backed YBN Team | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc300…007ebacked YBN Team | 60c | 82.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.27per pick | 51cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed YBN Team | 46c | 82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 645 | 47.8%308 W · 337 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3540…3c49backed avice Team | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked YBN Team | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked YBN Team | 22c | 55.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 535 | 38.5%206 W · 329 L | -26.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed avice Team | 68c | 52.01$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked avice Team | 54c | 50.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed avice Team | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed YBN Team | 33c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed avice Team | 66c | 43.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed avice Team | 63c | 34.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked YBN Team | 33c | 32.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cb…c8dfbacked avice Team | 63c | 31.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…ef1cbacked avice Team | 75c | 27.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked YBN Team | 44c | 26.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked avice Team | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed YBN Team | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 215 | 40.9%88 W · 127 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked avice Team | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed avice Team | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed avice Team | 69c | 20.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked avice Team | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed avice Team | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | +16.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ed…8d1dbacked avice Team | 59c | 19.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: YBN Team vs avice Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: YBN Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bavice Team won
- Dota 2: YBN Team vs avice Team - Game 2 Winneravice Team won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.