Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: YBN Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8abbf0486beb30dba4d8d47289c0de414312b16eaedf52caf1dd0c1dd9e9e760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- avice Teamof YBN Team, avice Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe4d7…17e6backed YBN Team | 31c | 620.39$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed avice Team | 73c | 452.44$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked avice Team | 67c | 395$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.34 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked YBN Team | 24c | 384.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.8 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6818…8f14backed YBN Team | 40c | 277.14$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed avice Team | 78c | 255.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked YBN Team | 25c | 231.76$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 683 | 45.8%313 W · 370 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed YBN Team | 8c | 197.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed avice Team | 78c | 187.58$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed YBN Team | 31c | 169.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…ad4cbacked YBN Team | 25c | 148.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed YBN Team | 26c | 146$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked YBN Team | 18c | 139.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked avice Team | 63c | 136.03$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed YBN Team | 26c | 134.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked avice Team | 79c | 127.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…4fa6backed avice Team | 74c | 126.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed YBN Team | 38c | 117.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed YBN Team | 26c | 97.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 416 | 32.7%136 W · 280 L | -37.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked YBN Team | 28c | 96.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed YBN Team | 29c | 96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed YBN Team | 24c | 88.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked avice Team | 77c | 71.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99dc…bcdabacked avice Team | 72c | 69.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed avice Team | 70c | 62.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed avice Team | 63c | 56.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked YBN Team | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…c2d7backed YBN Team | 31c | 44.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…f1e0backed YBN Team | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 813 | 45.1%367 W · 446 L | -26.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed avice Team | 62c | 35.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked avice Team | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…4b13backed avice Team | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 139 | 75.5%105 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3241…cca8backed avice Team | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…d08abacked avice Team | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked avice Team | 63c | 25.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed avice Team | 62c | 22.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…7b12backed avice Team | 73c | 21.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: YBN Team vs avice Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: YBN Team vs avice Team - Game 1 Winneravice Team won
- Dota 2: YBN Team vs avice Team - Game 2 Winneravice Team won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.