Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d56751850bc88622323ec904ff2d59139c675a82852be7247d47b573180cb8

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: NS Teamof NS Team, Rostik Team
Resolved: Jul 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $35,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,363

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,616 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8342…6dc8backed NS Team	76c	5,345$4,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,277.76	480	54%259 W · 221 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40db…ca8cbacked NS Team	69c	3,456$2,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,069.72	540	58.9%318 W · 222 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd039…ba3bbacked Rostik Team	54c	3,231$1,737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,737.46	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Rostik Team	62c	1,858$1,153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.03	414	55.6%230 W · 184 L	+41.4wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Rostik Team	53c	1,697$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$893.11	935	46.4%434 W · 501 L	-15.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NS Team	45c	1,515$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$833.28	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Rostik Team	62c	1,278$793 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$793.47	610	57.9%353 W · 257 L	+2.8wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed NS Team	54c	1,028$556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$471.8	377	45.4%171 W · 206 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Rostik Team	33c	969.41$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.58	476	50.8%242 W · 234 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2095…873ebacked NS Team	38c	960$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.49	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed NS Team	39c	863.24$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.15	378	32.5%123 W · 255 L	-12.7wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47e8…efdcbacked NS Team	46c	738$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.13	194	56.2%109 W · 85 L	+13.1wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x880d…39bcbacked NS Team	64c	726.88$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.02	327	56.9%186 W · 141 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Rostik Team	26c	640.11$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.59	892	38.1%340 W · 552 L	-42.7wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed NS Team	62c	487.7$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$187.7	89	57.3%51 W · 38 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Rostik Team	43c	452.13$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.65	538	44.4%239 W · 299 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa050…1346backed Rostik Team	13c	419.05$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa61b…05e5backed Rostik Team	54c	368.37$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Rostik Team	31c	367.74$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe434…f520backed NS Team	44c	363.16$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.16	53	52.8%28 W · 25 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae27…6fb2backed NS Team	17c	362.83$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.83	56	21.4%12 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked NS Team	50c	296.77$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147.17	508	50.8%258 W · 250 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c32…0a48backed Rostik Team	55c	266.23$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.8	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5233…eb29backed Rostik Team	77c	259.8$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Rostik Team	17c	255.72$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.04	899	38%342 W · 557 L	-45.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc1bf…b83cbacked Rostik Team	60c	216.67$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.17per pick	48cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked NS Team	34c	209.46$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.21	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Rostik Team	30c	204.86$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.49	535	38.5%206 W · 329 L	-26.6wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x08fa…f1e0backed NS Team	46c	180$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.73	813	45.1%367 W · 446 L	-26.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Rostik Team	33c	178.87$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.02	143	36.4%52 W · 91 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x762a…ed42backed NS Team	31c	175.58$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.58	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd417…327abacked NS Team	57c	174.97$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.97	106	41.5%44 W · 62 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Rostik Team	51c	174.71$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.28	1,120	36.1%404 W · 716 L	-39.4wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eef…44a0backed NS Team	38c	172.7$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.33	71	60.6%43 W · 28 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked NS Team	40c	159.05$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.19	1,702	41.2%701 W · 1,001 L	-44.0wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Rostik Team	77c	155.09$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.43	215	40.9%88 W · 127 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28f5…2035backed NS Team	55c	150$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.9	332	65.4%217 W · 115 L	+23.7wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf9f…998bbacked NS Team	39c	148.22$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.48	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x79cc…ad4cbacked Rostik Team	35c	144.49$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	106	35.8%38 W · 68 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed NS Team	33c	133.54$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.65	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Rostik Team	16c	128.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	569	45.2%257 W · 312 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rostik Team	73c	123.93$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.08	440	49.3%217 W · 223 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x885a…e1e3backed Rostik Team	45c	115.4$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.4	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x667c…9293backed Rostik Team	50c	97.26$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.39	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b6…5d73backed Rostik Team	56c	90.98$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.11	133	36.8%49 W · 84 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Rostik Team	57c	90$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NS Team	38c	83.45$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.03	691	32.6%225 W · 466 L	-26.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed NS Team	53c	75.37$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.45	589	43%253 W · 336 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8efb…c0e6backed NS Team	65c	73.41$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.41	222	59%131 W · 91 L	-11.3wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NS Team	43c	70.73$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.29	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x401d…23c6backed Rostik Team	50c	70.71$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.22	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ee…a2b3backed Rostik Team	72c	69.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Rostik Team	40c	68.26$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.12	683	45.8%313 W · 370 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed1…18a8backed NS Team	63c	66.2$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.64	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	60cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed Rostik Team	44c	60$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.33	475	48%228 W · 247 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed NS Team	34c	53.5$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.08	276	36.2%100 W · 176 L	-15.4wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NS Team	55c	49.56$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.28	587	46.5%273 W · 314 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a53…71a3backed NS Team	42c	47.53$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.53	185	62.7%116 W · 69 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	62cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed NS Team	57c	46.9$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.19	340	45.9%156 W · 184 L	-8.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7eb…eef7backed NS Team	46c	46.25$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.81	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1e…3b56backed Rostik Team	65c	44.87$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc269…7841backed Rostik Team	55c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	-5.9wins	-0.18per pick	47cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0cf1…d7febacked NS Team	31c	39.99$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.59	61	49.2%30 W · 31 L	+5.2wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed NS Team	32c	39.12$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.56	165	39.4%65 W · 100 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0db9…a4a8backed Rostik Team	50c	34.84$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.42	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-5.7wins	-0.47per pick	64cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Rostik Team	46c	34.3$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.67	328	6.4%21 W · 307 L	-102.4wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-72.6%equal weight	18-0.29 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed Rostik Team	41c	31.58$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	214	47.2%101 W · 113 L	+16.7wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x249e…4fa6backed NS Team	36c	30.07$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.31	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	-5.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3fe…3f90backed Rostik Team	48c	27.29$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed Rostik Team	41c	27$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-4.9wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Rostik Team	39c	25.79$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	340	41.2%140 W · 200 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa080…6645backed Rostik Team	68c	23.52$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.99	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+4.8wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+23%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc440…2e0ebacked NS Team	63c	21.44$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.01	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.31per pick	69cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed NS Team	70c	21.43$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.43	39	64.1%25 W · 14 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked NS Team	70c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.07	444	74.8%332 W · 112 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bda…c134backed Rostik Team	78c	19.23$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	64	50%32 W · 32 L	-8.4wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group Athis page
Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team - Game 1 WinnerRostik Team won
Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team - Game 2 WinnerNS Team won
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: NS Team vs Rostik Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle Group A

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event