MLB · resolved market
Mariners vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cba9123e5719e3a84f019d575873212dbca19b82ef69f8395e5cc4af0709a77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Mariners, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Astros | 50c | 127,557$63,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,438.78 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Mariners | 50c | 90,000$45,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mariners | 51c | 25,719$13,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,602.43 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Astros | 50c | 25,000$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mariners | 50c | 11,111$5,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.5 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcc…441bbacked Mariners | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,804.12 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Mariners | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Astros | 21c | 4,678$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Mariners | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 49c | 2,718$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 10c | 2,635$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.5 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Astros | 8c | 2,600$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Mariners | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Astros | 20c | 1,908$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.35 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Astros | 1c | 1,822$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mariners | 78c | 1,510$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Astros | 11c | 1,250$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mariners | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Astros | 50c | 1,145$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.5 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Astros | 50c | 1,136$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.79 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Astros | 44c | 1,099$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.75 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Astros | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners | 49c | 917.8$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.08 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Astros | 49c | 803.97$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.95 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Astros | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Astros | 69c | 637$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.33 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -12.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariners | 80c | 605$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 49c | 546.31$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.69 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mariners | 50c | 532$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Astros | 23c | 431.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 50c | 419.08$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.54 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x761a…d9babacked Mariners | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Astros | 50c | 395$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Mariners | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…28fabacked Mariners | 51c | 359.8$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.3 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ff…d6f9backed Astros | 50c | 359.76$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 50c | 345$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ba…d03cbacked Mariners | 51c | 333.33$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…8fe6backed Astros | 50c | 333.16$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 75c | 322.23$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.88 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Astros | 50c | 309.1$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.55 | 1,055 | 50.3%531 W · 524 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Astros | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Astros | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Mariners | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.1 | 1,302 | 56.7%738 W · 564 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Astros | 50c | 244$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Mariners | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Astros | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Astros | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08d1…7ddabacked Astros | 51c | 196.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Mariners | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…5685backed Mariners | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Astros | 33c | 194.49$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…95a1backed Astros | 52c | 193.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 401 | 44.1%177 W · 224 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…6576backed Mariners | 51c | 170.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 24c | 163.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd287…7485backed Mariners | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 543 | 52.3%284 W · 259 L | +27.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Astros | 13c | 146.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mariners | 50c | 138$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Astros | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…1ff7backed Astros | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Astros | 50c | 105.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…2759backed Astros | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ce…316ebacked Astros | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6360…c981backed Mariners | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 252 | 55.6%140 W · 112 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ab…f2a9backed Mariners | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 426 | 51.2%218 W · 208 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d4…47d8backed Mariners | 51c | 79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Mariners | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 666 | 48.2%321 W · 345 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Astros | 51c | 76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Astros | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88c…2f53backed Mariners | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e34…d38bbacked Mariners | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Astros | 51c | 64.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 547 | 40.2%220 W · 327 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Mariners | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…509abacked Astros | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mariners | 57c | 56.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 462 | 39.6%183 W · 279 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac1…5f0fbacked Mariners | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 342 | 57.6%197 W · 145 L | +25.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…71bbbacked Astros | 21c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8f…a3dcbacked Mariners | 51c | 54.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…b81ebacked Mariners | 51c | 50.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…b86ebacked Mariners | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Astros | 27c | 44.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff8b…effcbacked Mariners | 51c | 41.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3222…2823backed Mariners | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…5096backed Mariners | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Astros | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfd…3462backed Mariners | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Mariners | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Mariners | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2660…c57abacked Astros | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mariners vs. Astrosthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.