Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mai Hontama vs Akasha Urhobo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cc07e6d077ad10e31b55c76654afc96af4229adf25f07bd8237ccf48d1dcb07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mai Hontamaof Mai Hontama, Akasha Urhobo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Akasha Urhobo | 13c | 3,423$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.04 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Akasha Urhobo | 68c | 1,640$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.5 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Akasha Urhobo | 13c | 1,433$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.6 | 580 | 21.9%127 W · 453 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mai Hontama | 79c | 1,242$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.49 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Akasha Urhobo | 63c | 1,105$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.14 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Mai Hontama | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mai Hontama | 34c | 994.95$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.93 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Akasha Urhobo | 56c | 927.11$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.69 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mai Hontama | 32c | 866.05$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.06 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mai Hontama | 37c | 808.35$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.76 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Mai Hontama | 28c | 725.15$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.5 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Akasha Urhobo | 50c | 621.88$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.24 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mai Hontama | 39c | 526.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.54 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…67babacked Akasha Urhobo | 3c | 479.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 61 | 0%0 W · 61 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Akasha Urhobo | 65c | 470.45$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.81 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Akasha Urhobo | 63c | 435.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.59 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Mai Hontama | 28c | 400$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mai Hontama | 73c | 395.63$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Mai Hontama | 46c | 354.85$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Mai Hontama | 33c | 319.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.89 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Akasha Urhobo | 54c | 298.4$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Mai Hontama | 37c | 257.11$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.98 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Mai Hontama | 37c | 245.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Mai Hontama | 42c | 211.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.66 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Akasha Urhobo | 50c | 200.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mai Hontama | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Akasha Urhobo | 73c | 199.21$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.99 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Akasha Urhobo | 21c | 187.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Akasha Urhobo | 73c | 163$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Mai Hontama | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.16 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Akasha Urhobo | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mai Hontama | 36c | 158.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.3 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Mai Hontama | 32c | 156.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…0bdbbacked Akasha Urhobo | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Akasha Urhobo | 35c | 145.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Akasha Urhobo | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked Akasha Urhobo | 49c | 136.63$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Akasha Urhobo | 26c | 108.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | -16.0wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…9bc4backed Mai Hontama | 79c | 98.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 472 | 74.4%351 W · 121 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Akasha Urhobo | 25c | 91.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Mai Hontama | 36c | 88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Mai Hontama | 36c | 77.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed Mai Hontama | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Akasha Urhobo | 32c | 63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Mai Hontama | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Akasha Urhobo | 31c | 61.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Mai Hontama | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mai Hontama | 37c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Akasha Urhobo | 35c | 42.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Mai Hontama | 30c | 39.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Mai Hontama | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked Mai Hontama | 42c | 30.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Mai Hontama | 37c | 29.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Akasha Urhobo | 48c | 29.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked Akasha Urhobo | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b07…5f54backed Akasha Urhobo | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Mai Hontama | 37c | 27.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Mai Hontama | 62c | 26.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 536 | 57.8%310 W · 226 L | +35.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e2…c81fbacked Akasha Urhobo | 57c | 26.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…8714backed Akasha Urhobo | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe3…a9f7backed Akasha Urhobo | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Akasha Urhobo | 68c | 24.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…f7c3backed Akasha Urhobo | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Akasha Urhobo | 65c | 18.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b86…5552backed Akasha Urhobo | 72c | 15.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 45 | 75.6%34 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Mai Hontama | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Mai Hontama | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Mai Hontama | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 523 | 55.6%291 W · 232 L | +26.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.